18 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1429
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zientek
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kaspar
ELO 1418
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaspar🌟Kaspar stays under total as underdog 83% (23)
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.