18 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1289
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Madle
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1391
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hejduk
Fair odds · Madle
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+102
H2H16-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)