18 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Petr
ELO 1424
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Petr
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1263
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kubat🌟Petr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (22)
Fair odds · Petr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+161
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)