18 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1602
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stolfa
JT
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1492
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Trefny stays under total as underdog 77% (26)
Fair odds · Stolfa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+110
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)