18 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1619
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Paril
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1683
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Polasek🌟Polasek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (208)
Fair odds · Paril
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H37-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.