18 Aug · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JB
🇨🇿Jan Bernat
ELO 1471
3-1Final setsBernat won
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1484
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Malek at 52%. The actual result was Jan Bernat 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Lukas Malek favoured — closing 1.76
Total 75.5
75 points played
Set handicap
Lukas Malek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Lukas Malek −2.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Bernat is favoured to win, below means Lukas Malek.
▲ Jan Bernatpre 51% → final 5%
Lukas Malek ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsMalek recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games