18 Aug · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bradach
ELO 1761
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bradach
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1619
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Bradach
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+142
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)