19 Aug · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
V2
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl 2005
ELO 1647
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.962005
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1636
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Louda covers set handicap as underdog 63% (101)
Fair odds · 2005
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.83· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.