20 Aug · 02:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1552
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skakal
MS
🇨🇿Martin Skakal
ELO 1565
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sychra🌟Sychra covers set handicap as underdog 64% (212)
Fair odds · Skakal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.