20 Aug · 04:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Tazler
ELO 1554
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tazler
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1552
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Sychra covers set handicap as underdog 64% (212)
Fair odds · Tazler
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H29-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.