20 Aug · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1753
0-3Final setsKos won
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kos
ELO 1734
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Mares at 54%. The actual result was Tomas Kos 0-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Mares favoured — closing 1.81
Total 76.5
64 points played
Set handicap
Mares −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Mares −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 3.4
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Tomas Kos.
▲ Erik Marespre 58% → final 0%
Tomas Kos ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsKos recovered from 34%64 points · 3 games