21 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1526
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Varecha
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1476
FormWWWWW
53%
47%
🌟Varecha stays under total as favourite 63% (35)
Fair odds · Varecha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.