21 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1324
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Madle
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1376
FormLLWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Madle
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H32-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.