21 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1270
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Petr
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Petr
ELO 1436
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Petr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (23)
Fair odds · Petr
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+166
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)