21 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tobola
ELO 1468
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Guliak
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1476
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Guliak🌟Tobola covers set handicap as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Guliak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.