21 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1439
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Varecha
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1526
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Varecha stays under total as favourite 63% (35)
Fair odds · Varecha
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+87
H2H7-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)