21 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1324
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Regner
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1354
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Regner rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (82)
Fair odds · Regner
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.