21 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PD
🇨🇿Petr Danko
ELO 1530
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Danko
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1523
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Danko stays under total as favourite 73% (26)
Fair odds · Danko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.