21 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Janata
ELO 1550
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Janata
JS
🇨🇿Jan Svoboda
ELO 1497
FormLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Janata rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (72)
Fair odds · Janata
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.