21 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Janata
ELO 1550
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Janata
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1468
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Janata rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (72)
Fair odds · Janata
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+82
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.