21 Aug · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1504
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kowolowski
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1487
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Taichman
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.