21 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1453
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kowolowski
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1504
FormLLWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.