21 Aug · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1471
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bartunek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1490
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
🌟Bruzek stays under total as underdog 67% (60)
Fair odds · Bartunek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H11-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.