21 Aug · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ER
🇨🇿Evzen Rychlik
ELO 1528
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rychlik
OH
🇨🇿Oliver Hradil
ELO 1486
FormWLL
52%
48%
🌟Rychlik stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Rychlik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.