21 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OH
🇨🇿Oliver Hradil
ELO 1486
FormWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Byrtus
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1560
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (100)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.