22 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1361
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Syroha
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1284
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Syroha rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (87)
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H31-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.