22 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1284
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sr
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1343
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Sr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (123)
Fair odds · Sr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H18-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.