22 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Potmesil
ELO 1337
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Potmesil
PS
🇨🇿Petr Serak
ELO 1260
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Potmesil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (14)
Fair odds · Potmesil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.