22 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1471
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zurek
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hrabec
ELO 1465
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Hrabec stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~71 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.