22 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AT
🇨🇿Andrii Tkachenko
ELO 1385
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tkachenko
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Potmesil
ELO 1337
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Tkachenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.