22 Aug · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AT
🇨🇿Andrii Tkachenko
ELO 1393
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tkachenko
PS
🇨🇿Petr Serak
ELO 1260
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Tkachenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+133
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)