22 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1595
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Langer
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1672
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.