22 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hrabec
ELO 1465
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hrabec
AV
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1454
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Virag rarely covers set handicap as underdog 27% (22)
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.