22 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1357
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Syroha
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1361
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Syroha rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (87)
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H11-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.