22 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1361
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Syroha
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1343
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
🌟Syroha rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (87)
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H25-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.