22 Aug · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1657
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kolisnyk
AB
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1648
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Barton🌟Barton covers set handicap as underdog 67% (48)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H19-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.