22 Aug · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1644
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolisnyk
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1657
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.