22 Aug · 04:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1408
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bartunek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1503
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Bartunek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+95
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)