22 Aug · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1475
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bartunek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1503
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
🌟Andrle covers set handicap as underdog 65% (46)
Fair odds · Bartunek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.