23 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇨🇿Adam Svoboda
ELO 1371
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dolezal
VD
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1490
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Dolezal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 45% · 2.23· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+119
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)