23 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1621
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zahradka
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1574
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanera🌟Kanera covers set handicap as underdog 66% (67)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H27-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.