23 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jiri Hyrsl
ELO 1280
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Martinek
JM
🇨🇿Jaroslav Martinek
ELO 1351
FormWWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Martinek stays under total as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Martinek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.