23 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RK
🇨🇿Radim Kvasnicka
ELO 1473
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kvasnicka
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hrabec
ELO 1448
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
🌟Hrabec stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Kvasnicka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~71 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.