23 Aug · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1634
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zidek
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1532
FormWWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Zidek stays under total as favourite 62% (58)
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+102
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)