23 Aug · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1417
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jasek
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1492
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 71% (28)
Fair odds · Jasek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.