23 Aug · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1559
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Walek
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1555
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Walek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (92)
Fair odds · Walek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H13-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.