23 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DV
🇨🇿David Vavrecka
ELO 1356
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vavrecka
AK
🇨🇿Alois Kanak
ELO 1343
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Vavrecka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Vavrecka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 36% · 2.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.