23 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vavrecka
ELO 1356
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Luksa
ZL
🇨🇿Zdenek Luksa
ELO 1398
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Vavrecka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 8% (13)
Fair odds · Luksa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.