23 Aug · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1285
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hejduk
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1318
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Hejduk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H18-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.