23 Aug · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1354
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vrabec
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1285
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Vrabec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H33-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.